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America’s exhaling, your wallet’s inhaling, the shutdown’s ending, and the money’s finally moving again. Foreign investors are betting big on India, and if you’ve got even one SIP, this could be your payday moment. China just unlocked the chip flow, meaning your dream car might finally roll off the line (and cost less). AI was supposed to predict the economy, but now it’s confusing it, and your money’s caught in the middle.

Here’s what’s moving the markets and your money right now.

In Today’s Business Pulse

  • 🇺🇸 Shutdown Nears Its End – The Senate moves to reopen the government, meaning paychecks, refunds, and daily life might finally get back on track.

  • 📈 India Gets the Upgrade – Goldman Sachs crowns India the global favorite, predicting a Nifty surge to 29,000, good news if you’ve got even one SIP.

  • 🚗 China Lifts the Brake – Beijing frees up car chips from export curbs, putting your next EV or tech-loaded ride back on the fast track.

  • 🤖 AI Breaks the Compass – Artificial intelligence is flooding economists with data so confusing, no one’s sure if it’s boom or bust ahead.

  • ⚡ Quick Hits – IN BUSINESS TODAY

Welcome to the age where machines make markets, billionaires make headlines, and you make rent.

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Wall Street Isn’t Warning You, But This Chart Might

Vanguard just projected public markets may return only 5% annually over the next decade. In a 2024 report, Goldman Sachs forecasted the S&P 500 may return just 3% annually for the same time frame—stats that put current valuations in the 7th percentile of history.

Translation? The gains we’ve seen over the past few years might not continue for quite a while.

Meanwhile, another asset class—almost entirely uncorrelated to the S&P 500 historically—has overall outpaced it for decades (1995-2024), according to Masterworks data.

Masterworks lets everyday investors invest in shares of multimillion-dollar artworks by legends like Banksy, Basquiat, and Picasso.

And they’re not just buying. They’re exiting—with net annualized returns like 17.6%, 17.8%, and 21.5% among their 23 sales.*

Wall Street won’t talk about this. But the wealthy already are. Shares in new offerings can sell quickly but…

*Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Important Reg A disclosures: masterworks.com/cd.

Image Credit: AIGPE®

🧠 The Pulse

Ever wondered what happens when politics meets your paycheck? The U.S. Senate just moved one step closer to ending the federal shutdown that’s been holding back paychecks, benefits, and essential services. For millions of Americans, it’s not just a headline — it’s about keeping the lights on and food on the table.

📌 The Download

  • After weeks of political standoff, the Senate finally advanced a bipartisan bill to reopen the government. This means federal employees, contractors, and small businesses that depend on government work might soon get paid again.

  • The shutdown, now stretching over a month, has affected everything from tax refunds to food inspections. Everyday life — from airport security to healthcare research — has been running on fumes.

  • The bill still faces some hurdles before it becomes law, but this step signals relief is near. For families, it’s not about politics — it’s about getting back stability after weeks of uncertainty.

💡 What This Means for You

If the bill passes, delayed paychecks could restart, government services could resume, and the country might just exhale a little. It’s a reminder that when Washington stalls, it’s your wallet and routine that take the hit.

Image Credit: AIGPE®

🧠 The Pulse

If you’ve got even a rupee in the market — directly or through mutual funds — this one’s for you. Goldman Sachs just upgraded India to “Overweight,” saying the Nifty could hit 29,000 by 2026. Translation: foreign investors are betting big on India’s future — and maybe so should you.

📌 The Download

  • Goldman Sachs’ upgrade means it sees India as one of the most promising markets globally. Strong growth, political stability, and tech-led reforms are drawing big money.

  • This could bring more foreign funds into Indian stocks, lifting everything from your SIP returns to your retirement corpus.

  • The Nifty target of 29,000 isn’t just a number — it signals confidence that India will keep outperforming peers. But it also means the market may get more volatile as global investors chase opportunity.

💡 What This Means for You

Your mutual funds and stock portfolio could see a bump. Stay invested, but don’t get greedy — smart money plays the long game when optimism runs high.

Image Credit: AIGPE®

🧠 The Pulse

If you’ve dreamed of buying a car with smarter tech or smoother EV performance — good news! China just decided to exempt chips used in cars from its export restrictions, keeping the global auto industry running.

📌 The Download

  • China had earlier tightened chip exports, worrying automakers worldwide. Now, it’s making an exception for car-related chips — used in everything from EV batteries to infotainment systems.

  • This move helps global carmakers, including those in India, Europe, and the U.S., avoid production delays and shortages.

  • It also signals China’s willingness to protect one of the world’s fastest-growing industries — electric and connected vehicles — while still keeping control over critical tech.

💡 What This Means for You

Cheaper, more available cars and EVs could follow, with fewer delays in delivery. Your next upgrade might come faster — and maybe even cost a bit less.

Image Credit: AIGPE®

🧠 The Pulse

Think the economy’s doing great? AI says… it’s complicated. The flood of data from artificial intelligence tools is now confusing economists instead of helping them, making it harder to tell if we’re heading for a boom or a bust.

📌 The Download

  • Central banks and analysts are relying on AI tools to track inflation, jobs, and spending in real-time — but these models are now giving mixed signals.

  • Some AI systems show strong consumer demand, while others predict an upcoming slowdown. That confusion is shaking confidence in forecasts that decide everything from loan rates to policy moves.

  • For regular people, this means you might keep hearing conflicting news — “economy up,” “recession near,” “markets steady” — all in the same week.

💡 What This Means for You

Expect more uncertainty. Interest rates, stock markets, and even job trends might move unpredictably. It’s a good time to keep your budget flexible and your savings steady.

IN BUSINESS TODAY - QUICK HITS

⚡Quick Hits (60‑Second News Sprint)

Short, sharp updates to keep your finger on the Business pulse.

  • 💵 Trump Suggests $2,000 Payouts to Americans: Donald Trump said he might give $2,000 payments to Americans to help offset higher prices caused by his proposed tariffs on imports. He defended the tariffs, saying they protect U.S. jobs and industries, but the payouts would help families handle the short-term cost increases. 

  • 🗃️ Visa and Mastercard Near Deal With Merchants: Visa and Mastercard are close to an agreement with major retailers that could reduce the swipe fees stores pay on card transactions. The deal might also affect credit card rewards programs, possibly lowering cashback or travel points as the companies adjust to new fee rules.

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